PolyBot

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Traders

IV7

0x5d05088e131b92192e8a0bd5a3ca89439043aee5

Realised P&L
$2.1k
Volume
$229.0k
Markets traded
535
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded535
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.7400.675$1.7k$162.50
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5100.575$575.00+$65.00
Blue wave in 2026? · Yes0.7840.825$329.76+$16.21
Will Ohio (Special) have the closest Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1320.083$250.72$149.65
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1300.125$125.00$5.00
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1300.135$108.04+$4.00
Will Michigan have the closest Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1060.106$18.25+$0.09
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$28.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET · Up0.4220.000$0.00$29.56
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025? · Yes0.4130.000$0.00$139.29
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference? · No0.3000.000$0.00$15.00
Rockies vs. Guardians · Guardians0.7100.000$0.00$552.27
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · Yes0.3260.000$0.00$724.23
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET · Down0.4220.000$0.00$29.56
Will three people dissent the September Fed decision? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$174.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 03:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETBUY0.2899999884$5.00
09-12 19:39Spread: Oklahoma (-4.5)SELL0.01$0.50
09-02 00:23Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.51$510.00
08-14 01:08Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?SELL0.0769882333$23.10
08-04 03:12Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.65$10.40
08-04 03:11Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.189$42.91
08-04 03:01Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.65$10.40
07-15 23:26Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.006$1.20
07-12 16:21Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevBUY0.63$63.00
07-10 04:02Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.38$1.90
07-10 04:00Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.01$1.16
07-10 03:58Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.54$6.53
07-03 20:37Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceBUY0.51$10.20
07-03 11:53Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$1.00
06-23 00:22Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.35$70.00