IV7
0x5d05088e131b92192e8a0bd5a3ca89439043aee5
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $229.0k
- Markets traded
- 535
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded535
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.333Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
- +$1.7kat 0.163Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$694.94at 0.580Diamondbacks vs. Tigers
- +$632.30at 0.371Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
- +$626.73at 0.710Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 03:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 19:39 | Spread: Oklahoma (-4.5) | SELL | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 09-02 00:23 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $510.00 |
| 08-14 01:08 | Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19? | SELL | 0.0769882333 | $23.10 |
| 08-04 03:12 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $10.40 |
| 08-04 03:11 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.189 | $42.91 |
| 08-04 03:01 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $10.40 |
| 07-15 23:26 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.20 |
| 07-12 16:21 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.63 | $63.00 |
| 07-10 04:02 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 07-10 04:00 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.16 |
| 07-10 03:58 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $6.53 |
| 07-03 20:37 | Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 07-03 11:53 | Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 00:22 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.35 | $70.00 |