Daniel1234abcd
0x5cf64157fb9b2e502509976d8652694654d0d093
- Realised P&L
- $-85.81
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $32.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? · Yes | 0.214 | 0.065 | $32.75 | −$75.15 |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.22at 0.920Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- +$-1.00at 0.026Will "Donald" or "Trump" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)
- +$-1.01at 0.550Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
- +$-1.94at 0.180Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
- +$-5.00at 0.380Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 17:29 | Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? | BUY | 0.1602656957 | $21.53 |
| 05-27 14:52 | Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? | BUY | 0.1459065906 | $20.00 |
| 05-14 15:55 | Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 03-13 14:21 | Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999966 | $49.98 |
| 03-12 20:43 | Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? | BUY | 0.229999991 | $16.39 |
| 03-12 20:42 | Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | SELL | 0.961 | $5.22 |
| 03-12 20:42 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.05 |
| 03-12 20:42 | Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? | SELL | 0.4386578658 | $3.99 |
| 02-26 17:23 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $20.00 |
| 02-26 17:22 | Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | BUY | 0.9199999043 | $5.00 |
| 02-26 17:22 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4215685828 | $5.00 |
| 02-26 17:22 | Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 02-26 17:21 | Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 02-26 17:21 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 02-24 20:44 | Will "Donald" or "Trump" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1) | BUY | 0.025985365 | $1.00 |