GLITCH404
0x5cf36f2a9f60c6a386d589f80703a78bd9677be2
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $450.7k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $781.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$163.85at 0.254Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 16?
- +$138.83at 0.095Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 9?
- +$48.93at 0.069Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?
- +$44.47at 0.150Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 13?
- +$40.23at 0.095Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 10:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.2920111515 | $365.03 |
| 07-26 17:03 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0052546236 | $34.35 |
| 07-26 17:02 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July? | BUY | 0.0899706947 | $140.00 |
| 07-26 16:54 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in July? | SELL | 0.001001761 | $22.50 |
| 07-22 22:27 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in July? | BUY | 0.0032118022 | $72.15 |
| 07-22 22:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.40 |
| 07-22 22:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | SELL | 0.009 | $80.69 |
| 07-19 14:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0067687325 | $22.99 |
| 07-19 14:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0223074085 | $200.00 |
| 06-11 13:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? | BUY | 0.1115443593 | $25.46 |
| 06-08 14:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? | BUY | 0.0043092298 | $6.83 |
| 06-08 09:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9? | BUY | 0.0126598028 | $2.27 |
| 06-08 09:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? | BUY | 0.0211569779 | $28.64 |
| 06-05 15:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5? | BUY | 0.047503876 | $19.15 |
| 06-05 15:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5? | BUY | 0.0548343397 | $37.79 |