PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5cF32D9fb82688d5A0111733a9828F60d0351e4b-1773431693949

0x5cf32d9fb82688d5a0111733a9828f60d0351e4b

Realised P&L
$-1.47
Volume
$30.2k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$21.89

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on September 30? · No0.9990.995$21.89−$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 05:31Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on September 30?BUY0.999$21.98
07-06 07:07Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.003$1.57
07-06 07:07Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.003$5.94
06-29 07:21Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.004$8.08
06-22 06:48Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$7.24
05-15 08:24Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.006$9.72
05-11 04:25Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.006$9.00
04-27 08:39Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.007$8.47
04-15 05:16Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.01$9.80
04-11 05:45Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.008$9.84
04-09 09:08Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.011$9.46
04-02 08:33Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.008$9.92
04-02 08:32Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$9.92
03-18 07:15Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.975$615.23