0x5cF32D9fb82688d5A0111733a9828F60d0351e4b-1773431693949
0x5cf32d9fb82688d5a0111733a9828f60d0351e4b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.47
- Volume
- $30.2k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $21.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on September 30? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $21.89 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.24at 0.979Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 3?
- +$0.22at 0.978Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.06at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?
- +$0.06at 0.995Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 16?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.98 |
| 07-06 07:07 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.57 |
| 07-06 07:07 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $5.94 |
| 06-29 07:21 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.08 |
| 06-22 06:48 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.24 |
| 05-15 08:24 | Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.72 |
| 05-11 04:25 | Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.00 |
| 04-27 08:39 | Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.007 | $8.47 |
| 04-15 05:16 | Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.80 |
| 04-11 05:45 | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.84 |
| 04-09 09:08 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $9.46 |
| 04-02 08:33 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $9.92 |
| 04-02 08:32 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.92 |
| 03-18 07:15 | Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.975 | $615.23 |