Fishel39
0x5cef84e9903cfa7200806e9800141a2f916450ed
- Realised P&L
- $-4.09
- Volume
- $662.95
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $10.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.065 | $10.21 | −$0.79 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$4.93 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? · No | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 14? · No | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Down | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET · Up | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET · Down | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.07at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
- +$3.38at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
- +$1.69at 0.492Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 14?
- +$1.65at 0.447Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$0.08at 0.695Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.902 | $3.75 |
| 10-14 05:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | SELL | 0.57 | $15.83 |
| 10-14 05:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 05:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 14:45 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 14:41 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 14:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | SELL | 0.68 | $7.91 |
| 10-13 14:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 14:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | SELL | 0.42 | $4.57 |
| 10-13 14:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 14:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | SELL | 0.42 | $7.24 |
| 10-13 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 14:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | SELL | 0.35 | $3.57 |
| 10-13 14:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |