PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Fishel39

0x5cef84e9903cfa7200806e9800141a2f916450ed

Realised P&L
$-4.09
Volume
$662.95
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$10.29

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration59.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.0700.065$10.21−$0.79
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 14? · Yes0.0350.001$0.07−$4.93
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? · No0.0280.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 14? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 14? · No0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 14? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET · Up0.1200.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 05:30Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 14?SELL0.902$3.75
10-14 05:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETSELL0.57$15.83
10-14 05:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETBUY0.1799999986$5.00
10-14 05:17Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETBUY0.119999999$5.00
10-14 05:10Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 14?BUY0.05$1.00
10-13 14:45Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.0699999999$10.00
10-13 14:41Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?BUY0.4$10.00
10-13 14:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSELL0.68$7.91
10-13 14:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.4299999991$5.00
10-13 14:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSELL0.42$4.57
10-13 14:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-13 14:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSELL0.42$7.24
10-13 14:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.2899999884$5.00
10-13 14:19Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSELL0.35$3.57
10-13 14:17Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.4899999824$5.00