heizhu
0x5cdd3e3650c4041dd92d8b071287113de3e8dace
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $91.4k
- Markets traded
- 212
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded212
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.564 | 0.990 | $1.8k | +$785.75 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.309 | 0.977 | $977.61 | +$668.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$297.84at 0.252Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
- +$220.18at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
- +$171.25at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
- +$163.57at 0.517Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
- +$160.92at 0.507Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 04:00 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4402176279 | $404.56 |
| 09-03 06:33 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $8.22 |
| 08-30 00:28 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5583333333 | $33.50 |
| 08-30 00:28 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 08-24 01:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | SELL | 0.885 | $8.85 |
| 08-24 01:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.755 | $7.55 |
| 08-24 01:04 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.9586666667 | $28.76 |
| 08-24 01:03 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $18.87 |
| 08-24 01:02 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $61.25 |
| 08-14 09:55 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5526713926 | $237.01 |
| 08-14 09:53 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.277833935 | $38.48 |
| 08-14 09:52 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.3470622384 | $64.69 |
| 08-14 06:17 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4235293318 | $218.18 |
| 08-12 08:28 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.55 | $82.50 |
| 08-12 08:21 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.622 | $17.89 |