0x5cd8Cf63eA6a1Fb0eB9b437472b09C4F1Dc8093f-1768427712222
0x5cd8cf63ea6a1fb0eb9b437472b09c4f1dc8093f
- Realised P&L
- $-34.21
- Volume
- $491.62
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $19.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lazio finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season? · Yes | 0.446 | 0.439 | $19.71 | −$0.29 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.00at 0.280Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$5.67at 0.642Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-31?
- +$5.57at 0.495Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$2.03at 0.330Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$0.93at 0.519Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 22:04 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.657 | $22.57 |
| 10-31 22:04 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.42 | $24.00 |
| 10-27 19:55 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.629999993 | $9.97 |
| 10-27 19:55 | Will Lazio finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season? | BUY | 0.4455544394 | $20.00 |
| 10-27 19:36 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 19:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $1.14 |
| 10-27 19:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 19:19 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 10-27 19:18 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4949999886 | $15.00 |
| 10-27 19:17 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 10-27 19:17 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4929998945 | $2.00 |
| 04-13 19:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.86 |
| 04-13 19:14 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.11 |
| 04-12 14:21 | Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats? | BUY | 0.3399999694 | $4.00 |
| 04-12 14:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.90 |