PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5cd8Cf63eA6a1Fb0eB9b437472b09C4F1Dc8093f-1768427712222

0x5cd8cf63ea6a1fb0eb9b437472b09c4f1dc8093f

Realised P&L
$-34.21
Volume
$491.62
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$19.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lazio finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season? · Yes0.4460.439$19.71−$0.29
Iran leadership change by May 31? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 22:04Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.657$22.57
10-31 22:04Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.42$24.00
10-27 19:55Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.629999993$9.97
10-27 19:55Will Lazio finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?BUY0.4455544394$20.00
10-27 19:36Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-27 19:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETSELL0.98$1.14
10-27 19:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.859999914$1.00
10-27 19:19Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.28$14.00
10-27 19:18Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4949999886$15.00
10-27 19:17Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2799999664$2.00
10-27 19:17Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4929998945$2.00
04-13 19:15Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETBUY0.01$0.86
04-13 19:14Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.003$0.11
04-12 14:21Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?BUY0.3399999694$4.00
04-12 14:05Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETSELL0.99$1.90