0x5cD102aF588868Feaa763641EC35A6CB86Af4faD-1774952572512
0x5cd102af588868feaa763641ec35a6cb86af4fad
- Realised P&L
- $-31.96
- Volume
- $810.51
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $63.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31? · No | 0.927 | 0.905 | $63.43 | −$1.57 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.313 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Up | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.28at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
- +$1.41at 0.685Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
- +$0.38at 0.878Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
- +$0.18at 0.942AWS service disrupted by July 31?
- +$0.11at 0.953Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 16:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 07:57 | Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31? | BUY | 0.927431727 | $65.00 |
| 09-06 09:34 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.32 | $93.28 |
| 09-05 20:19 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.3533279325 | $103.00 |
| 08-05 15:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $3.06 |
| 08-05 15:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 12:29 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999631 | $4.00 |
| 07-16 07:22 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.3129999745 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 13:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |
| 07-15 13:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $3.41 |
| 07-15 13:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $3.00 |
| 07-12 17:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | SELL | 0.87 | $5.44 |
| 07-12 17:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |
| 07-12 14:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999933 | $3.00 |
| 07-12 14:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $3.00 |