0x7617946755FE356002898FAdf99880A715Ac43C4-1778404218137
0x5ccdfa540147b210576e2e3bf7b91d61b71af9f8
- Realised P&L
- $124.91
- Volume
- $23.4k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $625.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $155.38 | −$0.47 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.956 | 0.963 | $105.88 | +$0.71 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $99.55 | −$0.35 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 12 above $1.00? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.900 | $90.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $75.66 | −$0.27 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.75 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.994 | $69.55 | −$0.38 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 12 above $4.00? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $24.88 | −$0.10 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $30? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.995 | $4.97 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.20at 0.860Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
- +$14.75at 0.960US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$6.10at 0.922Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$5.83at 0.990Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?
- +$5.75at 0.981Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 06:13 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.956 | $105.16 |
| 10-13 05:58 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $75.92 |
| 10-13 05:57 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 10-13 05:57 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.75 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.93 |
| 10-11 15:06 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 10-11 15:06 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 12 above $4.00? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 10-11 15:05 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $30? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 02:55 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.985 | $235.41 |
| 09-02 06:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-02 06:41 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $120-$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 31 – Sep 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $118.88 |
| 09-02 06:28 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $13.83 |
| 09-02 06:25 | Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $70.03 |
| 09-02 06:25 | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $160.86 |
| 09-02 06:20 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.992 | $243.40 |
| 09-02 06:20 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $197.20 |