thinker85
0x5cc0284c70ce3e1e6d0e2e250062777a501e62ed
- Realised P&L
- $-25.28
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $62.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.555 | $62.34 | −$0.56 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Up | 0.326 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.77at 0.785Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$7.64at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
- +$6.37at 0.847Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
- +$4.82at 0.840Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
- +$1.44at 0.793Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 11:32 | Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.5599999989 | $62.90 |
| 06-08 00:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |
| 06-08 00:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3260869506 | $25.00 |
| 06-08 00:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999973 | $25.00 |
| 06-08 00:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 00:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 00:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999956 | $25.00 |
| 06-08 00:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $25.00 |
| 06-08 00:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | SELL | 0.41 | $35.34 |
| 06-08 00:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999936 | $25.00 |
| 06-08 00:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1499999955 | $25.00 |
| 06-08 00:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | SELL | 0.4404843903 | $31.46 |
| 06-08 00:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.349999993 | $25.00 |
| 06-08 00:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | SELL | 0.15 | $10.00 |
| 06-08 00:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $32.26 |