0x5cbdfc20282cc821a0eaffa63fb1d7821de29fc5
- Realised P&L
- $-8.35
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 29? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 18? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Sion: Ryan Nijboer vs Tommaso Compagnucci · Ryan Nijboer | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 19? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 28? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET · Up | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.10at 0.467LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
- +$0.05at 0.944Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
- +$0.04at 0.963Bitcoin Up or Down on August 29?
- +$0.03at 0.972Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on August 29?
- +$0.03at 0.972Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on August 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 16:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 16:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 16:02 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.17 |
| 09-17 16:02 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.83 |
| 09-17 07:29 | Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A | SELL | 0.44 | $0.98 |
| 09-17 07:28 | Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:25 | Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A | SELL | 0.44 | $0.98 |
| 09-17 07:24 | Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:22 | Counter-Strike: M80 vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A | SELL | 0.47 | $0.98 |
| 09-17 07:20 | Counter-Strike: M80 vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:18 | M25 Guiyang: Zhenxiong Dong vs Chase Ferguson | SELL | 0.6 | $0.77 |
| 09-17 07:15 | M25 Guiyang: Zhenxiong Dong vs Chase Ferguson | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:14 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | SELL | 0.56 | $0.98 |
| 09-17 07:13 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:10 | Will there be a power grid emergency in New York before October 1? | SELL | 0.97 | $4.95 |