sinespace
0x5cb7a8e481c63d9a547eefcdc921a0e31f153792
- Realised P&L
- $-133.93
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $30.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.150 | $30.00 | +$13.50 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 on March 16? · No | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on March 16? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.17at 0.978Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.96at 0.927Will Marex Group (MRX) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.00at 0.973Will Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?
- +$-0.23at 0.983Will Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist) (CPN-UML) win 60 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?
- +$-132.84at 0.894Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 22:51 | Extended listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 08-21 22:11 | Extended listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.08 | $12.00 |
| 03-16 20:47 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on March 16? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 17:22 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on March 16? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 17:18 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 on March 16? | BUY | 0.0559999498 | $1.00 |
| 03-05 18:11 | Will Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist) (CPN-UML) win 60 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election? | SELL | 0.87 | $2.04 |
| 03-05 18:10 | Will Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election? | SELL | 0.973 | $4.90 |
| 03-04 23:59 | Will Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election? | BUY | 0.973 | $4.87 |
| 03-04 23:59 | Will Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election? | BUY | 0.97 | $0.04 |
| 03-04 23:50 | Will Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist) (CPN-UML) win 60 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election? | BUY | 0.983 | $14.74 |
| 03-04 18:35 | Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4? | BUY | 0.207 | $3.10 |
| 03-03 12:51 | Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $10.16 |
| 03-03 12:45 | Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4? | BUY | 0.971 | $48.55 |
| 03-03 12:43 | Will Marex Group (MRX) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.991 | $14.87 |
| 03-03 12:40 | Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4? | BUY | 0.971 | $47.58 |