09876poiu
0x5cad0665a07a722bf49b71bdac234e8fe9c32bdd
- Realised P&L
- $4.5k
- Volume
- $75.9k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $572.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.411 | 0.043 | $405.58 | −$3.4k |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.413 | 0.040 | $167.18 | −$1.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.779Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
- +$239.53at 0.984Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 06:34 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $20.01 |
| 08-17 18:54 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.9808007474 | $1.0k |
| 08-17 18:41 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.9711047062 | $2.1k |
| 08-17 18:39 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.9817729417 | $2.6k |
| 08-16 03:01 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.9635763551 | $2.1k |
| 08-14 22:21 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.9642637833 | $2.5k |
| 08-13 05:34 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.9626406125 | $2.0k |
| 08-13 05:31 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.9706094713 | $1.6k |
| 08-08 05:54 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.965072399 | $2.0k |
| 08-08 05:53 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.9700371029 | $2.6k |
| 08-08 05:46 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.5k |
| 08-02 21:20 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.9524984917 | $972.52 |
| 07-26 05:09 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.4330148157 | $603.24 |
| 07-26 04:36 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.9502686621 | $633.06 |
| 07-26 04:33 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.9599380354 | $1.4k |