PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5Ca81A9632Bbbc8a5c8B18456B8247269Ad001E8-1781968129299

0x5ca81a9632bbbc8a5c8b18456b8247269ad001e8

Realised P&L
$-34.73
Volume
$7.2k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$1.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0080.012$1.50+$0.50
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$4.00
Harry Kane: 1+ assists · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$2.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$2.00
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$2.00
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 3.5 Corners · Over0.6100.000$0.00$2.00
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners · Over0.5500.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Down0.9900.000$0.00$5.00
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assists · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$8.66
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
Lionel Messi: 1+ shots · No0.0460.000$0.00$1.00
Harry Kane: 1+ shots · No0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
England vs. Argentina: Team to Take First Corner · Argentina0.4500.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 15:29Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3174999553$2.84
07-15 15:25Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.0599999865$4.00
07-15 15:24Argentina to score first vs. England?BUY0.4299999871$5.00
07-15 15:23Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$1.00
07-15 15:23Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0439999593$1.00
07-15 15:22Trump out as President by July 31?SELL0.00312402$6.25
07-15 15:21Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.005$10.00
07-15 15:19Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?BUY0.008$1.00
07-15 15:16Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsBUY0.001$1.00
07-15 15:12Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.4699999887$5.00
07-15 15:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.0039761431$5.00
07-15 15:07Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0437810966$1.00
07-15 15:05Harry Kane: 1+ assistsBUY0.1399999426$2.00
07-15 15:05Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsBUY0.2399999184$2.00
07-15 15:04Harry Kane: 1+ shotsBUY0.1$1.00