PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5c981F7D9C98AA2F99787f9b6eA06b0feC88dE6c-1773916850644

0x5c981f7d9c98aa2f99787f9b6ea06b0fec88de6c

Realised P&L
$518.96
Volume
$41.9k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$258.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration50.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0220.018$250.14$51.36
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0420.015$8.66$16.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 14:48Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.018$83.52
08-28 14:46Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.85$863.74
08-09 10:50Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.967$483.50
07-07 12:31Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.006$12.00
07-07 12:14Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.058$2.47
07-07 12:06Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.697349$348.67
07-07 12:04Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.91$426.79
04-24 17:48Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.91$63.40
03-24 06:14Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.043$5.71