0x5c981F7D9C98AA2F99787f9b6eA06b0feC88dE6c-1773916850644
0x5c981f7d9c98aa2f99787f9b6ea06b0fec88de6c
- Realised P&L
- $518.96
- Volume
- $41.9k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $258.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.018 | $250.14 | −$51.36 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.015 | $8.66 | −$16.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$302.83at 0.058Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$136.50at 0.019Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$129.97at 0.706Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$27.20at 0.029Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$7.52at 0.002Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 14:48 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.018 | $83.52 |
| 08-28 14:46 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.85 | $863.74 |
| 08-09 10:50 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.967 | $483.50 |
| 07-07 12:31 | Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.006 | $12.00 |
| 07-07 12:14 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.058 | $2.47 |
| 07-07 12:06 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.697349 | $348.67 |
| 07-07 12:04 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.91 | $426.79 |
| 04-24 17:48 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.91 | $63.40 |
| 03-24 06:14 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.043 | $5.71 |