keyboardBmx
0x5c94eaf34857cc1502f4ad72e94bca6411ad64c1
- Realised P&L
- $-3.06
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $5.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? · No | 0.955 | 0.991 | $2.98 | +$0.11 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? · Yes | 0.994 | 0.990 | $2.18 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.13at 0.952Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?
- +$0.07at 0.977Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?
- +$0.03at 0.980Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$0.02at 0.991Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 10?
- +$0.02at 0.989Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9549999967 | $2.87 |
| 09-15 18:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9939999982 | $2.19 |
| 09-08 02:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.9889999957 | $1.39 |
| 09-03 06:33 | Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.9789999899 | $1.46 |
| 08-26 01:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9749999748 | $2.90 |
| 08-26 01:09 | Will Solana reach $160 in August? | BUY | 0.992 | $2.68 |
| 08-19 03:49 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.54 |
| 08-13 09:34 | Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.75 |
| 08-07 09:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.9899998337 | $2.56 |
| 07-28 20:54 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.9909999978 | $1.37 |
| 07-28 20:53 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9889996378 | $2.07 |
| 02-12 10:24 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-13? | BUY | 0.3499999197 | $2.18 |
| 01-11 10:34 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.993 | $355.16 |
| 01-11 10:07 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.994 | $355.52 |
| 01-11 10:06 | Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.993 | $355.51 |