Raymondgnh
0x5c94b35edcad2125022bbed56176e719fcf3b8cd
- Realised P&L
- $25.29
- Volume
- $34.1k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $0.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 26-November 1? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.002 | $0.62 | −$77.13 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? · No | 0.685 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.78 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · G2 Esports | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.40 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.33 |
| Warriors vs. Lakers · Warriors | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$447.30at 0.500Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$438.24at 0.500Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$420.75at 0.500Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$388.44at 0.500Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$360.99at 0.500Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 07:05 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.25 | $77.75 |
| 10-26 08:59 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.997 | $729.27 |
| 10-26 08:59 | Will Borussia Mönchengladbach be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | SELL | 0.998 | $27.66 |
| 10-26 08:59 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.998 | $730.00 |
| 10-26 08:58 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.995 | $694.30 |
| 10-26 08:58 | Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.998 | $33.98 |
| 10-26 08:58 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.996 | $695.00 |
| 10-26 08:58 | Will Borussia Mönchengladbach be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | SELL | 0.998 | $698.60 |
| 10-26 08:57 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.00 |
| 10-26 08:57 | Will Borussia Mönchengladbach be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | BUY | 0.999 | $252.00 |
| 10-26 08:57 | Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.998 | $154.69 |
| 10-26 08:57 | Will Borussia Mönchengladbach be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | BUY | 0.999 | $475.00 |
| 10-26 08:57 | Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.998 | $565.57 |
| 10-26 08:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 27? | BUY | 0.9970116533 | $8.00 |
| 10-26 08:56 | Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.999 | $755.00 |