0x5c93D43D3D83F5Eec53E5e6D681356c3b50cDb13-1722999020524
0x5c93d43d3d83f5eec53e5e6d681356c3b50cdb13
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $15.0k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $36.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.027 | $36.64 | −$58.36 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yes | 0.731 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$490.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.354Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-06 20:04 | Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999993 | $95.00 |
| 11-06 02:32 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | SELL | 0.568 | $568.00 |
| 10-07 22:35 | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SELL | 0.89 | $445.00 |
| 10-03 01:20 | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SELL | 0.6531333333 | $195.94 |
| 10-03 01:19 | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SELL | 0.6509 | $325.45 |
| 10-02 14:38 | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SELL | 0.66 | $198.00 |
| 10-02 04:10 | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SELL | 0.6 | $180.00 |
| 10-02 03:17 | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SELL | 0.6375 | $127.50 |
| 10-01 23:29 | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BUY | 0.3781364542 | $340.00 |
| 10-01 22:49 | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BUY | 0.3656708983 | $397.00 |
| 10-01 22:33 | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BUY | 0.3268625184 | $410.00 |
| 09-19 23:50 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BUY | 0.7689999999 | $460.00 |
| 08-23 04:42 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BUY | 0.7028515845 | $990.00 |
| 08-16 23:03 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BUY | 0.7569999998 | $1000.00 |
| 08-15 14:54 | Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6699999996 | $490.00 |