molypark
0x5c8da449cbb1086634d537c46253c07a63b14662
- Realised P&L
- $-474.20
- Volume
- $30.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,062
- Open portfolio
- $149.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,062
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.73at 0.818Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 6?
- +$25.28at 0.856Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 8?
- +$25.14at 0.847Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 17?
- +$24.60at 0.837Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 26?
- +$23.31at 0.866Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 15:17 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.9052027299 | $150.15 |
| 10-11 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.914311649 | $30.22 |
| 10-10 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.89 | $9.77 |
| 10-07 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.894999999 | $62.10 |
| 10-07 01:22 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.93 | $13.95 |
| 10-06 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 7? | SELL | 0.82 | $54.12 |
| 10-06 18:09 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.89 | $62.30 |
| 10-06 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.93 | $61.38 |
| 10-06 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.9079999932 | $9.10 |
| 10-06 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.89 | $2.67 |
| 10-06 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.93 | $61.38 |
| 10-05 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.8525 | $17.05 |
| 10-05 22:32 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.93 | $61.38 |
| 10-05 17:55 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.80 |
| 10-05 15:50 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.939 | $4.69 |