PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

molypark

0x5c8da449cbb1086634d537c46253c07a63b14662

Realised P&L
$-474.20
Volume
$30.7k
Markets traded
1,062
Open portfolio
$149.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,062
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on October 13? · No0.9050.900$149.29−$0.86
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 8? · No0.9300.000$0.00−$12.09
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs · Nongshim Esports Academy0.9100.000$0.00−$20.02
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on September 5? · No0.8500.000$0.00−$26.35
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 18? · No0.8200.000$0.00−$24.60
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner · Natus Vincere0.9200.000$0.00−$20.24
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 9? · No0.9150.000$0.00−$13.95
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs · FlyQuest0.8900.000$0.00−$30.26
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12? · No0.9400.000$0.00−$12.22
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs · BIG0.8800.000$0.00−$20.24
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 22? · No0.9200.000$0.00−$13.80
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · 1win0.8800.000$0.00−$9.68
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs · MOUZ0.8800.000$0.00−$20.24
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs · Heroic0.8800.000$0.00−$20.24
Counter-Strike: ex-MIBR Academy vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs · Turma do Pagode0.9100.000$0.00−$20.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 15:17Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on October 13?BUY0.9052027299$150.15
10-11 23:20Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 12?BUY0.914311649$30.22
10-10 12:10Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 11?BUY0.89$9.77
10-07 14:00Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 8?BUY0.894999999$62.10
10-07 01:22Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 7?BUY0.93$13.95
10-06 23:30Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 7?SELL0.82$54.12
10-06 18:09Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 7?BUY0.89$62.30
10-06 15:59Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 7?BUY0.93$61.38
10-06 14:11Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 7?BUY0.9079999932$9.10
10-06 05:50Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 6?BUY0.89$2.67
10-06 00:12Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 6?BUY0.93$61.38
10-05 23:30Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 6?SELL0.8525$17.05
10-05 22:32Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 6?BUY0.93$61.38
10-05 17:55Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 6?BUY0.94$18.80
10-05 15:50Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 6?BUY0.939$4.69