thanks.for.play
0x5c8caf999b59f0118ff05e48ed6badcf857a0ee7
- Realised P&L
- $-17.36
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $40.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C · OG | 0.357 | 0.365 | $40.87 | +$0.87 |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner · LGD Gaming | 0.650 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$99.92 |
| Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B · Team Nemesis | 0.270 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$14.97 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D · Yakult Brothers | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner · Team Liquid | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
| XRP Up or Down - September 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up | 0.141 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.54at 0.598Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
- +$55.25at 0.730Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
- +$31.61at 0.943Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A
- +$11.69at 0.895Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D
- +$7.40at 0.685Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 14:54 | Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C | BUY | 0.3699999958 | $15.00 |
| 10-02 13:58 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 05:56 | Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 05:56 | Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C | BUY | 0.3499999988 | $15.00 |
| 10-02 05:55 | Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B | BUY | 0.2699999978 | $15.00 |
| 10-01 19:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | SELL | 0.445225 | $178.09 |
| 10-01 19:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | SELL | 0.7181502038 | $287.25 |
| 10-01 15:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | BUY | 0.67 | $267.99 |
| 10-01 15:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BUY | 0.41 | $164.00 |
| 10-01 14:59 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.98132773 | $216.58 |
| 10-01 13:37 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.72 | $158.90 |
| 09-30 15:51 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A | BUY | 0.94 | $519.70 |
| 09-30 14:16 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $190.86 |
| 09-30 13:58 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C | SELL | 0.74 | $23.13 |
| 09-30 13:53 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.589999999 | $70.00 |