PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Essence

0x5c8461242fbdc25cfc11be316c1c2741ac40c9f6

Realised P&L
$-864.13
Volume
$62.6k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1320.105$1.9k$485.80
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · Yes0.0440.021$23.93$26.06
Biden drops out of presidential race? · No0.5060.000$0.00$200.00
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$99.05
Colombia wins Copa America 2024? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$20.00
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$200.00
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$26.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 03:382026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.1439846035$483.45
09-10 02:322026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.14$463.98
09-10 02:312026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.14$500.00
09-08 20:012026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.12$216.32
09-08 16:42Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?BUY0.0438696771$50.00
09-08 16:342026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.12$500.00
09-08 16:342026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.1199999999$100.00
09-08 16:212026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.1199999999$95.33
04-26 23:23Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.14$344.78
04-18 02:58Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.16$394.03
10-23 01:22Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?SELL0.9014896586$394.02
08-20 19:08Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?BUY0.6887034459$301.02
11-06 21:49Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?BUY0.0125294359$99.05
07-21 20:48Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.024$26.31
07-21 20:47Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL0.005$26.31