Essence
0x5c8461242fbdc25cfc11be316c1c2741ac40c9f6
- Realised P&L
- $-352.25
- Volume
- $83.5k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.105 | 0.055 | $2.0k | −$1.8k |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No | 0.370 | 0.295 | $790.60 | −$201.00 |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.005 | $6.27 | −$43.73 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race? · No | 0.506 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.05 |
| Colombia wins Copa America 2024? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.01at 0.689Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
- +$-8.76at 0.736Argentina wins Copa America 2024?
- +$-49.25at 0.160Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$-94.72at 0.023Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 19:10 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.37 | $991.60 |
| 09-28 03:10 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.08 | $263.67 |
| 09-24 17:19 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.08 | $168.00 |
| 09-24 17:17 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.08 | $12.80 |
| 09-24 17:16 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.08 | $16.00 |
| 09-19 01:24 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.09 | $88.99 |
| 09-19 01:23 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.09 | $200.70 |
| 09-19 01:19 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.09 | $207.00 |
| 09-10 03:38 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1439846035 | $483.45 |
| 09-10 02:32 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.14 | $463.98 |
| 09-10 02:31 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.14 | $500.00 |
| 09-08 20:01 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.12 | $216.32 |
| 09-08 16:42 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.0438696771 | $50.00 |
| 09-08 16:34 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.12 | $500.00 |
| 09-08 16:34 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $100.00 |