Spindler72
0x5c808d7391454def17e321be0c1c2b6526ec9564
- Realised P&L
- $-292.83
- Volume
- $266.3k
- Markets traded
- 699
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded699
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 230.5 · Under | 0.527 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.13 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.77 |
| Spread: Heat (-15.5) · Wizards | 0.499 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford · Canelo | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Pistons vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5 · Under | 0.518 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.99 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) · Rockets | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.71 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.80 |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.414 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.20 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.386 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.46 |
| Nuggets vs. Raptors · Raptors | 0.684 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) · Spain | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$564.21at 0.639Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$408.28at 0.878Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?
- +$366.39at 0.132Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?
- +$247.73at 0.174Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 1 IR Iran?
- +$194.68at 0.418Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 20:56 | Will Trump say "Hormuz" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? | SELL | 0.99 | $69.30 |
| 10-14 18:48 | Will Trump say "Hormuz" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? | BUY | 0.35 | $24.50 |
| 10-14 01:53 | Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | SELL | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 10-13 22:52 | Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 10-13 22:33 | Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.63 | $25.20 |
| 10-13 22:31 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 10-13 16:10 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $34.97 |
| 10-13 11:13 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.793 | $23.79 |
| 10-13 11:12 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.792 | $3.96 |
| 10-13 01:38 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.448 | $13.44 |
| 10-12 15:24 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.358 | $7.16 |
| 10-12 15:01 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.376 | $3.76 |
| 10-12 15:00 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.338 | $3.66 |
| 10-09 16:23 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $53.85 |
| 10-09 15:43 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |