Forensics
0x5c7d98226c36fbc5c69a5a33ab0f7a2be64e6cc4
- Realised P&L
- $13.95
- Volume
- $409.3k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $85.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.6kat 0.318Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
- +$1.7kat 0.272Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$998.99at 0.610Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$630.61at 0.745Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?
- +$580.81at 0.721Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 23:28 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | BUY | 0.43982 | $439.82 |
| 06-02 23:28 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | BUY | 0.43 | $31.39 |
| 06-02 23:28 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | BUY | 0.28 | $17.36 |
| 06-02 23:27 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | BUY | 0.27 | $17.30 |
| 06-02 23:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? | BUY | 0.34 | $385.49 |
| 06-02 23:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? | BUY | 0.33 | $10.15 |
| 06-02 22:58 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | BUY | 0.25 | $129.97 |
| 06-02 22:58 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | BUY | 0.175 | $0.88 |
| 06-02 22:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? | BUY | 0.31 | $90.02 |
| 06-02 22:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 06-02 22:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? | BUY | 0.29 | $30.45 |
| 06-02 22:03 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 06-02 20:45 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | BUY | 0.24 | $70.37 |
| 05-26 17:01 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.10 |
| 05-26 17:01 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $17.00 |