kevaldas
0x5c773ca8f8dda0c7378bf0f1dedd64170145a9e6
- Realised P&L
- $-101.67
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Melania say "Peace" or "Peaceful" during her NC remarks? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Down | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.80 |
| Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next YouTube video? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.50 |
| Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7? · No | 0.085 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.71 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Down | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will MrBeast say "America" during his next YouTube video? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET · Up | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET · Down | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Down | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.05at 0.394Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
- +$11.26at 0.668Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
- +$11.10at 0.482Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
- +$9.35at 0.622Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
- +$9.10at 0.365Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 20:00 | Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $13.60 |
| 10-09 17:16 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $7.60 |
| 10-09 09:51 | Gemini Argon released by October 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $12.76 |
| 10-08 11:19 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $2.12 |
| 10-08 08:42 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 10-08 05:48 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $43.00 |
| 10-07 15:51 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $26.80 |
| 10-07 13:24 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.56 |
| 10-07 12:43 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $54.00 |
| 10-07 09:55 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 09:43 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $40.23 |
| 10-07 07:47 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:32 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $16.63 |
| 10-06 10:20 | Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $9.11 |
| 10-04 17:15 | Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.44 | $0.33 |