PolyBot

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Traders

kevaldas

0x5c773ca8f8dda0c7378bf0f1dedd64170145a9e6

Realised P&L
$-101.67
Volume
$7.1k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Melania say "Peace" or "Peaceful" during her NC remarks? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$9.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Down0.5970.000$0.00−$10.00
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00−$13.80
Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next YouTube video? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$13.50
Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7? · No0.0850.000$0.00−$5.71
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will MrBeast say "America" during his next YouTube video? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00−$13.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET · Up0.2900.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Down0.3600.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 20:00Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by December 31, 2026?SELL0.34$13.60
10-09 17:16Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?SELL0.67$7.60
10-09 09:51Gemini Argon released by October 12, 2026?SELL0.88$12.76
10-08 11:19Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?SELL0.68$2.12
10-08 08:42Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?SELL0.57$28.50
10-08 05:48Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?SELL0.86$43.00
10-07 15:51Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?SELL0.67$26.80
10-07 13:24Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?SELL0.83$0.56
10-07 12:43Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?BUY0.9$54.00
10-07 09:55Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-07 09:43Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?SELL0.86$40.23
10-07 07:47Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-06 18:32Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 6, 2026?BUY0.978$16.63
10-06 10:20Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?SELL0.17$9.11
10-04 17:15Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?SELL0.44$0.33