PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cxpMacWin

0x5c6c4017ddda01aa3e830c8a9159910f93449707

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$77.7k
Markets traded
207
Open portfolio
$713.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded207
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5010.255$280.50$270.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4510.065$196.30$1.2k
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.8900.819$81.85$7.15
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.8400.815$81.50$2.50
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4000.365$73.00$7.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET · Up0.9800.000$0.00$222.62
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET · Up0.6600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$1.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET · Up0.9700.000$0.00$137.61
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$1.26
Solana Up or Down - December 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET · Up0.3400.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET · Up0.5020.000$0.00$1.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET · Down0.6200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$1.05
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 02:27Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$154.41
08-27 02:27Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$108.15
08-23 04:30Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$0.35
08-23 04:29Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?SELL0.02044$2.04
08-20 14:18Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.51$23.13
08-14 08:33Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?SELL0.58198$58.20
08-14 08:31Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?BUY0.94$94.00
07-28 15:38Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.5040515775$1.7k
07-28 14:39Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.56$28.55
07-28 14:38Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.5601666667$168.05
07-28 01:41Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.55$55.00
07-28 01:34Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.56$70.00
07-23 08:22Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.43$81.35
07-22 02:41Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4589444276$500.00
07-17 03:27Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.51$51.00