cxpMacWin
0x5c6c4017ddda01aa3e830c8a9159910f93449707
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $77.7k
- Markets traded
- 207
- Open portfolio
- $713.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded207
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$618.41at 0.457Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$415.65at 0.577Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$289.71at 0.744Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
- +$170.92at 0.749Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
- +$164.13at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 02:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $154.41 |
| 08-27 02:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $108.15 |
| 08-23 04:30 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.35 |
| 08-23 04:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | SELL | 0.02044 | $2.04 |
| 08-20 14:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $23.13 |
| 08-14 08:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | SELL | 0.58198 | $58.20 |
| 08-14 08:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 07-28 15:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5040515775 | $1.7k |
| 07-28 14:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $28.55 |
| 07-28 14:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5601666667 | $168.05 |
| 07-28 01:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $55.00 |
| 07-28 01:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $70.00 |
| 07-23 08:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $81.35 |
| 07-22 02:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4589444276 | $500.00 |
| 07-17 03:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |