artik2020wallamenchi
0x5c6940cefe1dc0cbcc859b62997cc749baa751ca
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $836.1k
- Markets traded
- 406
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded406
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.039Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
- +$1.8kat 0.052Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$1.3kat 0.184Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
- +$1.3kat 0.267Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.665Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 13:52 | Will Argentina vs. Benin end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0173843539 | $91.42 |
| 10-04 19:57 | Will Israel win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.19 | $124.00 |
| 09-25 05:42 | Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | SELL | 0.0306458193 | $122.72 |
| 09-24 09:00 | Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | BUY | 0.0352117441 | $141.00 |
| 09-09 13:44 | Will Viking FK win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.0899999998 | $28.30 |
| 09-09 13:42 | Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.015 | $15.90 |
| 09-09 13:41 | Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.028 | $29.50 |
| 08-25 18:32 | Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-25? | BUY | 0.1399999992 | $136.00 |
| 08-20 10:29 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2799999998 | $835.00 |
| 08-20 10:25 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.94 | $834.50 |
| 08-14 12:18 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.0097500875 | $12.00 |
| 08-14 12:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.0088312977 | $18.00 |
| 07-28 23:06 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29? | BUY | 0.0632053263 | $190.00 |
| 07-27 05:54 | Israel military action against Yemen by July 31? | BUY | 0.0389733376 | $195.00 |
| 07-26 12:59 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0472846333 | $710.00 |