0x5c6742e6e365dad274282ae4ed3aa68e57209a04
- Realised P&L
- $-20.01
- Volume
- $797.32
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $42.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.375 | $12.08 | −$0.16 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.025 | $11.16 | +$1.16 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.051 | $6.60 | +$1.60 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.280 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.085 | $4.25 | −$0.75 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.175 | $3.06 | −$3.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-2.00at 0.142Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
- +$-5.00at 0.310US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$-5.00at 0.100Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
- +$-6.00at 0.377Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 18:15 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.3799999845 | $12.24 |
| 07-27 14:51 | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 18:31 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 17:52 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3774999783 | $6.00 |
| 07-09 19:45 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.1424999462 | $2.00 |
| 06-28 00:09 | Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 17:29 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0229999954 | $5.00 |
| 05-07 17:59 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0209999958 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 00:16 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $7.00 |
| 04-27 01:22 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 04-11 18:32 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0390000001 | $5.00 |