0x5c6742e6e365dad274282ae4ed3aa68e57209a04
0x5c6742e6e365dad274282ae4ed3aa68e57209a04
- Realised P&L
- $-18.53
- Volume
- $884.04
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $51.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.028 | $12.53 | +$2.53 |
| Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.190 | $9.50 | +$4.50 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.285 | $9.18 | −$3.06 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.051 | $6.47 | +$1.47 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.270 | $4.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.056 | $4.81 | −$0.19 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.215 | $3.76 | −$3.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-2.06at 0.147Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
- +$-5.00at 0.310US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$-5.25at 0.105Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
- +$-6.22at 0.391Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:40 | Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.0576540755 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 18:15 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.3799999845 | $12.24 |
| 07-27 14:51 | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 18:31 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 17:52 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3774999783 | $6.00 |
| 07-09 19:45 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.1424999462 | $2.00 |
| 06-28 00:09 | Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 17:29 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0229999954 | $5.00 |
| 05-07 17:59 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0209999958 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 00:16 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $7.00 |
| 04-27 01:22 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 04-11 18:32 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0390000001 | $5.00 |