SPCVENTURE
0x5c66ef532cf64c22caa188d0551af5e19c9b965b
- Realised P&L
- $-11.33
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $103.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.147 | 0.144 | $49.22 | −$0.78 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.132 | 0.117 | $44.13 | −$5.87 |
| Will David Lisnard win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.022 | $8.58 | −$11.42 |
| Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.038 | $1.77 | −$0.56 |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? · No | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Down | 0.254 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Down | 0.336 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Down | 0.347 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Down | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Down | 0.254 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.66at 0.075Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$22.81at 0.509Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
- +$20.86at 0.191Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
- +$19.04at 0.212Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
- +$16.61at 0.428Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 05:52 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.0329999992 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 19:02 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999932 | $6.00 |
| 10-13 13:32 | Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.33 |
| 10-13 12:19 | Will David Lisnard win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.052468407 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 12:18 | Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1467777782 | $50.00 |
| 10-13 12:18 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1319999999 | $50.00 |
| 04-19 15:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $4.34 |
| 04-12 15:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $1.74 |
| 04-12 15:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $1.82 |
| 04-12 13:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0866317423 | $4.34 |
| 04-12 13:56 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.0806986977 | $2.00 |
| 04-12 13:55 | Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 04-11 16:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.0599999724 | $1.73 |
| 04-11 16:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $4.29 |
| 04-11 16:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $4.54 |