0x5c65E8bEf869c72dAe68ee2B410477efc50aEa2a-1734152030332
0x5c65e8bef869c72dae68ee2b410477efc50aea2a
- Realised P&L
- $11.79
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $40.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.64at 0.410Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?
- +$8.09at 0.110Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?
- +$4.26at 0.540Dogecoin above $0.40 on December 20?
- +$3.38at 0.470Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?
- +$2.56at 0.540Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 07:10 | Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.00 |
| 09-10 17:20 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.00 |
| 09-09 13:14 | Will Solana reach $190 in September? | BUY | 0.9929999708 | $8.00 |
| 08-31 17:02 | Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $33.03 |
| 08-31 13:23 | Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $33.00 |
| 08-31 11:54 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August? | SELL | 0.999 | $33.00 |
| 08-27 16:04 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.00 |
| 08-26 19:22 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August? | BUY | 0.9973121697 | $20.30 |
| 08-25 02:07 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 15:28 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.039 | $1.95 |
| 08-18 01:13 | Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.9919999636 | $25.70 |
| 08-16 20:58 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 20:08 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $51.70 |
| 08-14 01:01 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9929999861 | $51.50 |
| 08-14 00:39 | Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.30 |