9652MIJHG
0x5c622cb13ecc4ee1a7078f8842d5bc1a9b4be45a
- Realised P&L
- $-9.00
- Volume
- $20.3k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $5.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.175 | $3.37 | −$6.63 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.370 | $1.40 | −$0.60 |
| Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.090 | $0.53 | −$0.47 |
| South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Delaware State Hornets · Delaware State Hornets | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.91 |
| Will Solana reach $250 in August? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Canadiens vs. Sharks · Canadiens | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals · Incarnate Word Cardinals | 0.231 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.97 |
| Houston Cougars vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys · Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.97 |
| KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Kia Tigers · Kiwoom Heroes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic · Michael Zheng | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Rider Broncs vs. Iona Gaels · Rider Broncs | 0.125 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.48at 0.830Cavaliers vs. Nets
- +$11.18at 0.309Bulls vs. Warriors
- +$10.87at 0.070Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
- +$9.41at 0.680Trail Blazers vs. Rockets
- +$8.60at 0.530Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:51 | National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 07:36 | KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Kia Tigers | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 08:56 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 05-31 04:57 | Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 05:51 | Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 05-14 01:16 | Spurs vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 10:57 | Knicks vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 04-13 02:48 | Pelicans vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $4.98 |
| 03-15 08:32 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22? | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 08:31 | Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | SELL | 0.7579512324 | $28.60 |
| 03-10 07:47 | Bulls vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.3090007932 | $5.00 |
| 03-07 05:22 | Houston Cougars vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys | BUY | 0.12 | $14.94 |
| 03-07 05:19 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.983 | $954.33 |
| 03-07 04:58 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.985 | $956.27 |
| 03-06 05:12 | Trail Blazers vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $20.00 |