PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5c61b4d4bd458f5b0dd823aeb94208b8d14759b9

Realised P&L
$-64.93
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$5.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6700.255$5.10$8.30
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 8? · Yes0.2670.000$0.00$18.69
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$5.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 10:01Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 8?BUY0.277$5.54
06-21 02:47Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.67$13.40
06-19 08:41Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?BUY0.12$2.40
06-14 00:50Will Jordan be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?BUY0.81$16.20
06-12 22:59US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?BUY0.45$9.00
06-12 06:11Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?BUY0.53$10.60
06-10 16:11Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.37$7.40
06-10 06:17Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?BUY0.67$13.40
06-09 08:53Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?BUY0.19$3.80
06-09 02:03Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.829$16.58
06-08 02:53Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.29$23.23
06-07 08:48Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.42$8.40
06-07 02:18Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?BUY0.27$5.40
05-09 07:02Will Chandler Simpson lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?BUY0.35$7.00
05-08 02:23Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?BUY0.9$6.93