windblow33
0x5c3f7f1080f4ae6f8c2684b1029194805cf3e8ca
- Realised P&L
- $-4.86
- Volume
- $156.8k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $2.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30? · No | 0.997 | 0.966 | $2.52 | −$0.08 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 20? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.23at 0.979State wide recount in Presidential Election?
- +$0.18at 0.964Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?
- +$0.11at 0.919Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?
- +$0.10at 0.972Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
- +$0.08at 0.979Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 04:46 | Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30? | BUY | 0.9969999992 | $2.60 |
| 09-11 04:46 | Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | SELL | 0.973 | $3.04 |
| 08-04 15:17 | Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 15:15 | Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | SELL | 0.958 | $3.52 |
| 07-28 10:13 | Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | BUY | 0.9669999504 | $3.55 |
| 07-28 10:12 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $3.67 |
| 06-02 03:35 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9809997833 | $3.68 |
| 06-02 03:34 | Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.988 | $2.77 |
| 05-19 09:41 | Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.78 |
| 05-09 14:45 | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.9859997196 | $3.20 |
| 05-09 14:45 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.98 | $3.67 |
| 04-02 11:24 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9809999992 | $3.68 |
| 03-18 13:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? | BUY | 0.9789999973 | $3.60 |
| 03-18 13:38 | 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $3.61 |
| 01-31 13:08 | 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | BUY | 0.9809999986 | $3.62 |