0x5c295f1074679737b3404a2a3ac8b6588a1f9a54
- Realised P&L
- $5.72
- Volume
- $197.68
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $31.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AD Pasto win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.500 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$5.00 |
| CR Vasco da Gama leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.510 | 1.000 | $9.80 | +$4.80 |
| Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 10.5 Total Corners · Under | 0.550 | 0.550 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| North Dakota State vs. Sacramento State: O/U 50.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.500 | $4.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Pacific FC vs. Vancouver FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.500 | $1.85 | +$0.85 |
| Will CF América win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.99 |
| UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card) · Dooho Choi | 0.710 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) · Alexandre Pantoja | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) · Mauricio Ruffy | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.12at 0.361UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)
- +$5.51at 0.482O/U 0.5 Rounds
- +$5.08at 0.502UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)
- +$1.16at 0.779Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
- +$0.25at 0.952Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 03:07 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 02:56 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 02:24 | Will CF América win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 02:15 | UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 02:09 | North Dakota State vs. Sacramento State: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 02:07 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 02:03 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.971 | $2.58 |
| 09-20 02:03 | Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer Split | SELL | 0.62 | $3.65 |
| 09-20 02:03 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.514 | $4.21 |
| 09-20 02:03 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $4.94 |
| 09-20 02:03 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers | SELL | 0.999 | $5.25 |
| 09-20 02:00 | Will AD Pasto win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 01:22 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 01:13 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 00:29 | Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.7699999943 | $4.05 |