PolyBot

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Traders

niprunedfp32fix

0x5c2908df25e7fffbe6fd529f1457670a5bfb1c24

Realised P&L
$56.37
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$206.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration76.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9200.945$102.72+$2.72
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes0.8400.875$52.08+$2.08
US x China Military clash before 2027? · No0.9400.974$51.78+$1.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 13:01China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.9199999915$100.00
07-28 09:32Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7142130277$255.47
06-26 10:49US x China Military clash before 2027?BUY0.9399999996$50.00
06-26 10:47Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?BUY0.8399999879$50.00
06-25 05:09Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.998$298.68
06-15 02:15Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5956336209$12.40
06-15 02:14Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?SELL0.995$12.11
06-14 15:53Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5799997332$2.00
06-13 17:16Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5998186772$200.00
06-11 00:52Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.9789999988$293.00
05-23 08:26Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9859999487$12.00
05-23 08:09Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETSELL0.93$11.48
05-23 08:08Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETBUY0.8099999854$10.00
05-23 06:16Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETBUY0.8$5.00
05-23 06:08US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?SELL0.999$9.48