niprunedfp32fix
0x5c2908df25e7fffbe6fd529f1457670a5bfb1c24
- Realised P&L
- $56.37
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $206.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No | 0.920 | 0.945 | $102.72 | +$2.72 |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.875 | $52.08 | +$2.08 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.974 | $51.78 | +$1.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.72at 0.609Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
- +$5.69at 0.979Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$1.66at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$1.29at 0.821Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
- +$1.18at 0.811Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:01 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9199999915 | $100.00 |
| 07-28 09:32 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7142130277 | $255.47 |
| 06-26 10:49 | US x China Military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $50.00 |
| 06-26 10:47 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.8399999879 | $50.00 |
| 06-25 05:09 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $298.68 |
| 06-15 02:15 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5956336209 | $12.40 |
| 06-15 02:14 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $12.11 |
| 06-14 15:53 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799997332 | $2.00 |
| 06-13 17:16 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5998186772 | $200.00 |
| 06-11 00:52 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.9789999988 | $293.00 |
| 05-23 08:26 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9859999487 | $12.00 |
| 05-23 08:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | SELL | 0.93 | $11.48 |
| 05-23 08:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 06:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 05-23 06:08 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.48 |