3xstest.1
0x5c1d011ee30b15cc989e51a7f2939866c40450f8
- Realised P&L
- $-12.17
- Volume
- $989.63
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $204.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.970 | $153.08 | +$3.08 |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · No | 0.457 | 0.285 | $31.16 | −$18.84 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yes | 0.852 | 0.880 | $10.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will Vinted be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.625 | $8.93 | −$1.07 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No | 0.052 | 0.030 | $0.53 | −$0.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.06at 0.942Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:17 | Will Vinted be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 20:16 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.8517381164 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 21:20 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.19 | $8.88 |
| 09-13 12:41 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.0668402062 | $1.43 |
| 09-12 16:06 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.05 | $13.52 |
| 09-12 16:01 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9499999991 | $50.00 |
| 09-12 16:01 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.052 | $18.50 |
| 09-12 16:01 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9499999991 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 15:57 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.4572564574 | $50.00 |
| 09-12 15:49 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.06 |
| 08-16 21:17 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399996992 | $1.00 |