PolyBot

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Traders

Green581

0x5bfe4ceab396b478b3fba1a6cd58bdd8e0b2a3af

Realised P&L
$-10.21
Volume
$117.3k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$6.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31? · No0.7600.900$6.09+$0.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 07:42Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31?BUY0.7599999941$5.14
09-02 07:42Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?SELL0.952$5.31
08-08 14:59Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9629999953$5.38
08-08 14:59Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.941$5.99
07-23 08:18Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9939999994$6.34
06-07 09:30Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?BUY0.98$2.85
06-07 09:30Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?SELL0.99$2.99
05-09 08:56Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?BUY0.98$2.96
05-09 08:56Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.993$6.54
04-10 04:09Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.994$6.56
03-17 11:16Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.9729999998$6.38
03-17 11:15Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?SELL0.994$6.38
02-24 11:55Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?BUY0.9929999998$6.38
02-02 23:54Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on February 3?BUY0.9889999986$6.31
01-29 07:58Trump deploys active duty troops to Minnesota by Jan 31?BUY0.9879999139$6.24