Emb2erogu
0x5bf98deb13cde8b5754f455bfcfbcd4fbc4c5a19
- Realised P&L
- $0.74
- Volume
- $112.6k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $5.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30? · No | 0.990 | 0.975 | $5.57 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.66at 0.771Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 10?
- +$0.42at 0.950Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
- +$0.24at 0.970Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 4?
- +$0.15at 0.980Which chamber will move first on a funding bill?
- +$0.12at 0.975Hyperliquid exploit before February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 09:24 | Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.66 |
| 09-10 09:24 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9667377483 | $7.30 |
| 08-04 09:50 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9769999844 | $7.38 |
| 08-04 09:50 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | SELL | 0.949 | $7.91 |
| 07-26 10:47 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.9449999119 | $7.88 |
| 07-26 10:47 | Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? | SELL | 0.951 | $1.96 |
| 06-03 04:47 | Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? | BUY | 0.955999705 | $1.97 |
| 06-03 04:46 | Weed rescheduled by June 30? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.55 |
| 05-20 07:19 | Weed rescheduled by June 30? | BUY | 0.989 | $1.62 |
| 05-20 07:19 | Trump out as President by June 30? | SELL | 0.986 | $2.81 |
| 05-13 12:05 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.9829996904 | $2.81 |
| 04-08 07:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 10? | BUY | 0.9859999985 | $7.88 |
| 04-08 06:59 | Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 56% and 57%? | SELL | 0.933 | $7.90 |
| 03-11 09:12 | Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 56% and 57%? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.46 |
| 02-26 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on February 27? | BUY | 0.9939999995 | $8.41 |