JasperCarroll880
0x5be9efa47f0e2c8484212c5085ea5424dce928c0
- Realised P&L
- $3.49
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 415
- Open portfolio
- $55.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded415
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 18? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $28.27 | −$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 18? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $26.95 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.68at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 20?
- +$9.68at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on April 23?
- +$9.68at 0.750Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 25?
- +$9.61at 0.750Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $295 Week of April 13 2026?
- +$9.60at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on April 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.30 |
| 09-17 15:20 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.998999964 | $27.00 |
| 09-13 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.9989999951 | $16.90 |
| 09-11 19:14 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on September 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $32.30 |
| 09-11 03:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.20 |
| 09-10 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on September 11? | BUY | 0.9989999794 | $32.30 |
| 09-07 15:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $34.50 |
| 09-06 20:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 6? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $17.10 |
| 09-06 04:44 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on September 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.80 |
| 09-05 23:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.9989999797 | $23.50 |
| 09-05 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.998999956 | $6.70 |
| 09-05 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.90 |
| 09-04 23:29 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.00 |
| 09-04 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 5? | BUY | 0.9989999766 | $20.50 |
| 09-04 11:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 4? | BUY | 0.9979999794 | $35.00 |