0x5be9b8dbFe259F88615f4296a58a951da489BF5c-1769812434273
0x5be9b8dbfe259f88615f4296a58a951da489bf5c
- Realised P&L
- $-321.91
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $126.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.93at 0.799Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
- +$22.57at 0.639Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 17?
- +$20.30at 0.663Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 20?
- +$17.88at 0.626Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 19?
- +$16.35at 0.710Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-05 14:19 | Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3? | SELL | 0.960795479 | $267.77 |
| 03-29 13:12 | Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3? | BUY | 0.8 | $24.00 |
| 03-29 13:12 | Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3? | BUY | 0.7995607235 | $30.94 |
| 03-29 13:12 | Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 03-25 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 26? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 03-23 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 24? | BUY | 0.62 | $9.68 |
| 03-21 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 22? | BUY | 0.69 | $9.86 |
| 03-21 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on March 23? | BUY | 0.62 | $10.00 |
| 03-21 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 22? | BUY | 0.6547194719 | $9.92 |
| 03-20 09:50 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on March 21? | BUY | 0.67 | $10.00 |
| 03-20 09:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 20? | BUY | 0.659 | $10.00 |
| 03-20 09:50 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 21? | BUY | 0.68 | $9.85 |
| 03-20 09:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 21? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 03-20 09:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 21? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.78 |
| 03-19 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 21? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.76 |