PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5be9b8dbFe259F88615f4296a58a951da489BF5c-1769812434273

0x5be9b8dbfe259f88615f4296a58a951da489bf5c

Realised P&L
$-321.91
Volume
$7.2k
Markets traded
111
Open portfolio
$126.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded111
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 14? · No0.5730.505$34.62−$4.64
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on October 14? · Yes0.3670.330$28.74−$3.24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15? · No0.4800.440$22.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on October 14? · No0.7900.820$18.90+$0.69
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 14? · Yes0.1900.170$8.50−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 14? · Yes0.1700.130$6.50−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 14? · No0.6090.575$4.10−$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 14? · No0.6200.655$3.36+$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on February 5? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$4.39
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on February 20? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.33
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 20? · No0.6400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on February 5? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 42°F or higher on February 10? · No0.3110.000$0.00−$4.15
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 50°F or higher on February 24? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.70
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 19? · No0.6100.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-05 14:19Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?SELL0.960795479$267.77
03-29 13:12Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?BUY0.8$24.00
03-29 13:12Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?BUY0.7995607235$30.94
03-29 13:12Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?BUY0.79$7.90
03-25 13:01Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 26?BUY0.63$3.15
03-23 19:17Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 24?BUY0.62$9.68
03-21 03:04Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 22?BUY0.69$9.86
03-21 03:04Will the highest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on March 23?BUY0.62$10.00
03-21 03:04Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 22?BUY0.6547194719$9.92
03-20 09:50Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on March 21?BUY0.67$10.00
03-20 09:50Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 20?BUY0.659$10.00
03-20 09:50Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 21?BUY0.68$9.85
03-20 09:50Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 21?BUY0.64$10.00
03-20 09:50Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 21?BUY0.64$6.78
03-19 14:41Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 21?BUY0.68$4.76