0x5be196a22870bfa800debda48de9ecaa64aa7ec1
- Realised P&L
- $-45.41
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $68.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.69at 0.350Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$7.21at 0.340Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
- +$7.00at 0.220Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026
- +$7.00at 0.400US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$6.90at 0.290Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 05:47 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.26 |
| 07-06 17:07 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6? | BUY | 0.6499999953 | $6.93 |
| 07-06 04:58 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.64 |
| 06-23 20:39 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.559999857 | $1.41 |
| 06-22 21:09 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.26 |
| 06-21 20:48 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499997374 | $1.98 |
| 06-20 23:31 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999921 | $6.90 |
| 06-20 02:17 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.13 |
| 06-19 04:56 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $4.18 |
| 06-18 07:16 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.05 |
| 06-17 09:56 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.32 |
| 06-16 11:57 | Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.92 |
| 06-15 14:04 | Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference? | BUY | 0.43 | $3.44 |
| 06-14 17:03 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.80 |
| 06-13 19:59 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999964 | $1.98 |