PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

livelives

0x5bdd080ae9d00d08235efffe32b80cfc14cb7b4d

Realised P&L
$-131.08
Volume
$78.6k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$477.49

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9800.984$196.70+$0.70
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9590.980$127.33+$2.67
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026? · Yes0.6700.950$95.00+$28.00
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.8700.835$58.45−$2.45
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$36.01
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$36.04
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? · No0.0150.000$0.00−$70.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 01:42Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.98$196.00
10-21 01:42Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.87$60.90
10-21 01:40Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?BUY0.67$67.00
08-22 03:10Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.67$37.23
08-22 03:10Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.985$39.40
08-22 03:09Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.959$124.67
08-22 03:08Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.001$1.73
08-22 03:08JD Vance out as VP by December 31?SELL0.94$95.88
07-02 10:25Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.003$5.19
07-02 10:24Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.978$36.19
06-21 02:16Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.004$36.02
06-21 02:15JD Vance out as VP by December 31?BUY0.92$93.84
06-21 02:15Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?BUY0.995$112.53
06-21 02:14Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?SELL0.996$210.16
05-22 15:55Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?BUY0.994$209.73