0x5bd44dC600726b1b48334B8aEca05Ba7786D5F66-1772283666296
0x5bd44dc600726b1b48334b8aeca05ba7786d5f66
- Realised P&L
- $12.85
- Volume
- $828.79
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $1.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings · Golden State Valkyries | 0.630 | 0.625 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Chisinau: Lorenzo Giustino vs Luca Nardi · Lorenzo Giustino | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) · Tromsø IL | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · No | 0.834 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone · Casper Ruud | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| SC Heerenveen vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) · Timberwolves | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Modena: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Darja Semenistaja · Marina Bassols Ribera | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Roland Garros WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Magda Linette · Jelena Ostapenko | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will James Harden win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.97at 0.119Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$16.13at 0.387Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$6.93at 0.30676ers vs. Celtics
- +$6.63at 0.337Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
- +$6.13at 0.387Cavaliers vs. Raptors
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 06:31 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 08:10 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 13:21 | BC Zenit vs. Uralmash | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:44 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 06:04 | Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 05:26 | Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics | BUY | 0.9099999163 | $5.00 |
| 08-15 17:26 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.64 | $4.00 |
| 07-18 10:52 | Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.7599999595 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 14:44 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 08:47 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.8599999828 | $3.00 |
| 07-05 07:45 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.00 |
| 07-04 12:15 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 06-30 06:36 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.9559999904 | $2.00 |
| 06-28 19:08 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.8099999554 | $2.00 |
| 06-27 05:55 | Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |