Yzbuaron
0x5bd3b492029dd1cdd662b2138b52d45769568241
- Realised P&L
- $359.46
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $35.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? · No | 0.842 | 0.840 | $19.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? · No | 0.261 | 0.155 | $6.06 | −$4.14 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.285 | $4.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.594 | 0.563 | $4.74 | −$0.26 |
| Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $0.17 | −$0.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.36at 0.299Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-0.25at 0.057Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-3.28at 0.058Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-3.28at 0.610Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-3.65at 0.338Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:09 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.043 | $0.75 |
| 11-01 22:08 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0569999989 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 21:19 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.8499999953 | $9.00 |
| 11-01 21:09 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.1479829697 | $5.56 |
| 11-01 21:05 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.15 | $4.05 |
| 11-01 21:03 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 21:00 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5939999589 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 19:53 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 16:04 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 15:34 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 15:33 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 19:02 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 11:58 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.59 | $24.18 |
| 10-30 11:57 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.0464890914 | $1.68 |
| 10-30 11:45 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $10.00 |