0x5bd3009c26ad5edda3cd0048fe54b1f4043396a7
0x5bd3009c26ad5edda3cd0048fe54b1f4043396a7
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $477.5k
- Markets traded
- 3,686
- Open portfolio
- $34.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,686
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$330.72at 0.141Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 10?
- +$287.08at 0.540Will Solana reach $200 on August 18–24?
- +$257.75at 0.654Will Solana reach $180 in July?
- +$239.35at 0.831Will Solana reach $200 in July?
- +$206.00at 0.018Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 16:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | SELL | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 09-27 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 09-27 15:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 15:54 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.28 | $28.00 |
| 09-27 15:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 09-27 15:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 15:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 09-27 15:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 09-27 15:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 09-27 15:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.225 | $2.25 |
| 09-27 15:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 09-27 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 09-27 13:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 09-27 12:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 12:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |