PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

m1ttle

0x5bcf60a125e5d13d6565dfd6e0a4a2fd23699af9

Realised P&L
$-78.15
Volume
$7.1k
Markets traded
235
Open portfolio
$4.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded235
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 27? · Yes0.3900.415$2.13+$0.13
Will the price of Solana be above $125 on September 28? · Yes0.2400.240$2.00+$0.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? · Yes0.1440.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 10? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$2.64
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners · Over0.2700.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$12.95
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream · Phoenix Mercury0.3500.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2460.000$0.00−$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 16? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$3.00
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals · Yes0.0710.000$0.00−$1.00
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 8? · Up0.0500.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 1? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$3.00
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · No0.5000.000$0.00−$7.00
Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 11:54Will the price of Solana be above $125 on September 28?BUY0.2399999808$2.00
09-26 11:54Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 27?BUY0.3899999337$2.00
09-24 23:23Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.4170516191$8.77
08-20 11:46Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.32$9.15
08-13 00:42Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8PM ETBUY0.38$5.70
08-13 00:39Dogecoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETBUY0.32$4.80
08-13 00:32Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETBUY0.15$3.00
08-13 00:29Solana Up or Down - August 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.2044723851$3.00
08-13 00:05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7PM ETSELL0.999$30.79
08-05 12:57US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.0140000001$1.00
08-05 12:57Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.0529411288$1.00
08-05 12:57Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago SkyBUY0.4399998064$1.00
08-05 12:56Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta DreamBUY0.3499999475$3.00
08-05 12:56Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?BUY0.1899999373$2.00
07-29 14:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 30?BUY0.4599999595$5.00