m1ttle
0x5bcf60a125e5d13d6565dfd6e0a4a2fd23699af9
- Realised P&L
- $-78.15
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 235
- Open portfolio
- $4.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded235
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.60at 0.136Spread: England (-1.5)
- +$19.08at 0.380Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7PM ET
- +$18.88at 0.218Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 28?
- +$14.20at 0.150Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
- +$12.79at 0.417Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 11:54 | Will the price of Solana be above $125 on September 28? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 11:54 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 27? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 23:23 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.4170516191 | $8.77 |
| 08-20 11:46 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.32 | $9.15 |
| 08-13 00:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.38 | $5.70 |
| 08-13 00:39 | Dogecoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $4.80 |
| 08-13 00:32 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 08-13 00:29 | Solana Up or Down - August 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2044723851 | $3.00 |
| 08-13 00:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $30.79 |
| 08-05 12:57 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0140000001 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 12:57 | Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.0529411288 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 12:57 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 12:56 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream | BUY | 0.3499999475 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 12:56 | Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 14:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |