PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Flip300

0x5bcd90dc168e93b7f6a7ac21c6bd46a6c338cf4b

Realised P&L
$15.8k
Volume
$695.8k
Markets traded
2,169
Open portfolio
$501.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,169
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 26? · No0.9881.000$194.54+$2.25
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 26? · No0.1971.000$178.62+$143.46
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 26? · No0.8811.000$92.15+$10.92
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 26? · Yes0.1401.000$15.71+$13.51
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0150.001$10.11−$296.61
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0040.001$5.36−$41.00
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0180.001$2.70−$96.35
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0150.001$1.91−$55.41
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on September 26? · Yes0.0060.001$0.35−$3.89
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 36°C on September 26? · Yes0.0010.001$0.08−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on September 26? · Yes0.0010.001$0.03−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on September 21? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$0.95
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 23? · Yes0.2380.000$0.00−$6.01
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 26? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00−$6.69
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23? · No0.2460.000$0.00−$1.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 18:54Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 26?BUY0.3903829341$22.33
09-26 18:47Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 26?SELL0.2$2.00
09-26 18:04Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 26?BUY0.04$0.32
09-26 17:56Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 26?SELL0.24$2.41
09-26 17:56Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on September 26?SELL0.0170282868$3.73
09-26 17:56Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 26?SELL0.23$1.42
09-26 17:56Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 26?SELL0.2649850449$5.32
09-26 17:55Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 26?SELL0.4475$13.59
09-26 16:56Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 26?BUY0.47$9.45
09-26 16:55Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 26?BUY0.99$172.42
09-26 16:55Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 26?BUY0.98$5.10
09-26 16:54Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 26?BUY0.4283333333$12.85
09-26 16:53Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 26?BUY0.9159475566$38.42
09-26 16:53Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 26?BUY0.98$5.17
09-26 16:48Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 26?BUY0.14$6.42