Flip300
0x5bcd90dc168e93b7f6a7ac21c6bd46a6c338cf4b
- Realised P&L
- $15.8k
- Volume
- $695.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,169
- Open portfolio
- $501.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,169
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.4kat 0.001Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 24?
- +$2.5kat 0.002Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 28?
- +$523.20at 0.806Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 12?
- +$464.63at 0.021Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?
- +$403.54at 0.398Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 18:54 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.3903829341 | $22.33 |
| 09-26 18:47 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.32 |
| 09-26 17:56 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.41 |
| 09-26 17:56 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.0170282868 | $3.73 |
| 09-26 17:56 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.42 |
| 09-26 17:56 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.2649850449 | $5.32 |
| 09-26 17:55 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.4475 | $13.59 |
| 09-26 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.45 |
| 09-26 16:55 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $172.42 |
| 09-26 16:55 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.10 |
| 09-26 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.4283333333 | $12.85 |
| 09-26 16:53 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9159475566 | $38.42 |
| 09-26 16:53 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.17 |
| 09-26 16:48 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.14 | $6.42 |