DannyCipriani
0x5bc5db96b5d893563caa7a93bc7dd8528f3ac64d
- Realised P&L
- $3.4k
- Volume
- $75.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,629
- Open portfolio
- $791.01
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,629
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-11-08? · Yes | 0.439 | 0.615 | $86.10 | +$24.69 |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08? · No | 0.207 | 0.360 | $41.68 | +$17.70 |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Cornell Big Red · Cornell Big Red | 0.568 | 0.420 | $31.88 | −$11.27 |
| Steelers vs. Bengals · Bengals | 0.283 | 0.565 | $28.25 | +$14.10 |
| Kings vs. Bruins · Kings | 0.239 | 0.395 | $26.87 | +$10.60 |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.533 | 0.515 | $26.39 | −$0.91 |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-05? · No | 0.538 | 0.600 | $26.09 | +$2.70 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.670 | 0.795 | $24.66 | +$3.88 |
| Wagner vs. Mercyhurst · Mercyhurst | 0.325 | 0.575 | $22.43 | +$9.73 |
| Spread: Bengals (-1.5) · Bengals | 0.262 | 0.505 | $21.36 | +$10.29 |
| Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-11-08? · No | 0.364 | 0.530 | $21.13 | +$6.60 |
| Magic vs. Suns · Suns | 0.345 | 0.525 | $21.00 | +$7.20 |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens · Avalanche | 0.369 | 0.490 | $20.98 | +$5.16 |
| Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-11-13? · Yes | 0.624 | 0.745 | $20.86 | +$3.40 |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) · Rams | 0.570 | 0.795 | $17.49 | +$4.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$406.35at 0.037Will the match end in a draw?
- +$237.50at 0.025Will the match end in a draw?
- +$225.57at 0.022Will the match end in a draw?
- +$95.54at 0.600Will Sam Stevens be the highest finishing debutant at the 2026 Masters?
- +$88.00at 0.120The Masters 2026: Playoff?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 17:34 | Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) | SELL | 0.51 | $3.06 |
| 11-02 17:34 | Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) | SELL | 0.56 | $6.16 |
| 11-02 16:31 | Georgia State vs. Appalachian State | SELL | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 11-02 12:27 | Navy Midshipmen vs. George Washington Revolutionaries | SELL | 0.06 | $3.73 |
| 11-02 08:44 | Hawks vs. Wizards | SELL | 0.59 | $26.02 |
| 11-02 06:44 | Pacers vs. Grizzlies | SELL | 0.61 | $8.03 |
| 11-01 22:52 | Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-11-06? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.61 |
| 11-01 20:52 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08? | SELL | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 11-01 18:52 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-08? | SELL | 0.46 | $6.07 |
| 11-01 17:52 | Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-08? | SELL | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 11-01 14:44 | 76ers vs. Pistons | SELL | 0.52 | $16.17 |
| 11-01 14:31 | Oregon vs. Ohio State | SELL | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 11-01 06:52 | Spread: New England Revolution (-2.5) | SELL | 0.93 | $13.95 |
| 11-01 00:52 | Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-11-02? | SELL | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 10-31 18:44 | Bulls vs. 76ers | SELL | 0.8 | $8.00 |