Badgery
0x5bc1242f3bb3f4f4f00b603ef6678431d4892dc9
- Realised P&L
- $33.1k
- Volume
- $143.0k
- Markets traded
- 206
- Open portfolio
- $9.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar23.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded206
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.8kat 0.577Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022?
- +$6.5kat 0.426Will the Ethereum 2.0 Genesis Event happen successfully on December 1st, 2020?
- +$3.6kat 0.862Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by June 1, 2022?
- +$3.0kat 0.729Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?
- +$2.8kat 0.648Will $BTC break $20k before Thanksgiving?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 09:36 | Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by October 31? | BUY | 0.8315251976 | $81.02 |
| 10-29 09:34 | Blue tsunami in 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $85.60 |
| 10-24 09:44 | Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 55 by October 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $142.20 |
| 10-23 08:18 | Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by October 31? | BUY | 0.9019794039 | $91.09 |
| 10-23 08:16 | Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7567345606 | $185.39 |
| 10-22 07:20 | Will Rho Labs launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.961202791 | $409.15 |
| 10-21 09:30 | Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by October 31? | BUY | 0.8578043693 | $78.14 |
| 10-19 10:07 | Will Rho Labs launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.872664 | $545.41 |
| 10-16 16:06 | Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.78 | $117.00 |
| 10-14 18:44 | Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by October 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $21.95 |
| 10-12 15:01 | Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by October 31? | BUY | 0.914 | $84.77 |
| 10-12 14:59 | Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6577776926 | $171.67 |
| 10-12 08:38 | Reya FDV above $40M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.35 | $14.77 |
| 10-12 08:37 | Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5876921893 | $114.59 |
| 10-12 08:36 | Reya FDV above $40M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4257142857 | $44.70 |