ipopovko
0x5bc0ec41013fa7686c030474a7b440fe1a358d47
- Realised P&L
- $-104.00
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 969
- Open portfolio
- $3.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded969
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.523 | 0.664 | $2.54 | +$0.54 |
| Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.180 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET · Up | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.14 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.328 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET · Down | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Up | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET · Up | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.65 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.89at 0.222Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
- +$4.48at 0.079Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$3.52at 0.385Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
- +$3.44at 0.378Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
- +$3.20at 0.130Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 15:28 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.61 | $4.13 |
| 10-14 15:27 | Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 07:57 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 07:13 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:58 | Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.95 |
| 10-03 16:58 | Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | SELL | 0.353 | $0.99 |
| 09-29 14:25 | Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.48 |
| 09-28 08:20 | Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:13 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 08:11 | Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.3549999255 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 09:55 | Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.0412938742 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 16:48 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.5229999697 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 13:55 | Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 13:52 | Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:19 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.694 | $1.37 |