PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ipopovko

0x5bc0ec41013fa7686c030474a7b440fe1a358d47

Realised P&L
$-104.00
Volume
$6.6k
Markets traded
969
Open portfolio
$3.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded969
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.5230.664$2.54+$0.54
Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%? · Yes0.1900.180$0.95−$0.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.6000.000$0.00−$1.14
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3280.000$0.00−$1.00
Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET · Down0.3700.000$0.00−$1.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET · Up0.3600.000$0.00−$0.65
France vs. England: Team to Win · France0.6700.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 15:28Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?SELL0.61$4.13
10-14 15:27Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
10-09 07:57Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-05 07:13Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-03 16:58Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?SELL0.21$0.95
10-03 16:58Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?SELL0.353$0.99
09-29 14:25Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?SELL0.02$0.48
09-28 08:20Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-28 08:13Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.6599998944$2.00
09-28 08:11Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?BUY0.3549999255$1.00
09-22 09:55Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.0412938742$1.00
09-21 16:48Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.5229999697$2.00
09-06 13:55Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
09-06 13:52Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
07-19 21:19Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.694$1.37