greuib76
0x5bc0ad89d9d91ef30e89a9af7a219ec349d40c1a
- Realised P&L
- $22.88
- Volume
- $23.7k
- Markets traded
- 240
- Open portfolio
- $299.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded240
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 2? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $106.04 | −$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 1? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $69.81 | +$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 1? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $67.95 | +$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C or below on November 2? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $55.78 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.20at 0.996Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?
- +$1.03at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 2?
- +$0.75at 0.992Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 15?
- +$0.67at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 3?
- +$0.65at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C or below on June 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $106.09 |
| 11-01 20:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.77 |
| 11-01 20:04 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $67.91 |
| 11-01 15:42 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C or below on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $55.75 |
| 10-31 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $70.38 |
| 10-31 17:18 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $105.57 |
| 10-31 17:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $90.68 |
| 10-31 09:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $90.46 |
| 10-30 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $75.15 |
| 10-30 16:18 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $96.64 |
| 10-29 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $104.06 |
| 10-28 21:34 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 20:12 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $81.28 |
| 10-27 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $75.90 |
| 10-27 17:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.20 |